Complacent Market; Fraught with Risk

stuck-in-mud

In a shockingly flat stretch, noteworthy for the lack of volatility, and an incredibly tight range, the market has gone absolutely NOWHERE from July to October. 20-30 basis point moves feel outsized, even though they are not, in any sort of historical context. On days when the market goes up, the VIX falls to a […]

No Man’s Land

no_mans_land

an anomalous, ambiguous, or indefinite area especially of operation, application, or jurisdiction definition two: financial market direction over the 2015-2016 period The meandering, low-volatility, sine wave oscillations of the tape continue. How did markets arrive at a point where a 3% pull-back is petrifying, and a 5% pull-back feels like a crash? The Brexit pull-back […]

Big in Japan; Can the Fed trump the BOJ?

alphaville

VIX back to the 15 range ahead of a consequential Fed meeting, deep into the economic cycle.┬áVolatility crush continues into actual central bank announcements.┬áZombie US markets can’t go down but can’t rally either. After recent, underwhelming ECB announcements, markets sense more to come from the Fed, yet a gasping sense reigns omnipresent. What, actually, can […]