Economics

Fears of a Crisis Grow

August 4, 2011
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Fears of a Crisis Grow

Fears of a Crisis Grow Interesting market reactions this morning. While many market participants are clearly being terrorized by a crisis of confidence (and this is always a risk) there look to be some genuinely better pieces of information. Markets are selling off based on rhetoric from the ECB. As we discussed yesterday, the ECB needs to talk big to instill confidence that bond markets in Spain and Italy are not on the cusp of spiraling out of control. Jean-Claude Trichet, the ECB President, mentioned the ability to buy bonds (even today). At first this caused a rally, but the rally in Italian 10-YR yields quickly reversed. Italian 10-YR yields closed the day at a 6.21% yield (up 12 bps) after being below 6.0% at one point in the morning....

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Europe’s Debt Crisis – Impact on Markets

August 3, 2011
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Europe’s Debt Crisis – Impact on Markets

Click Here for Formatted Europe PDF “I think we need a bigger boat!” The words of Martin Brody, played by the late Roy Scheider, ring true today with regard to Europe’s spluttering attempt to avoid a sovereign debt crisis. Now that the side-show spectacle regarding raising the US debt ceiling (i.e., whether the US would self-immolate) has passed (for the near-term). The issue for the markets relates to two items: 1) The prospects for Europe avoiding a financial crisis 2) The outlook for the US economy It will take time and many more data points to determine whether we are headed for another recession (double dip) within the next 12-months. Crackerjack maintains a baseline view that we will not. The Genesis of this Crisis: The PIGS (an acronym for:...

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Welcome to Crackerjack Finance

July 29, 2011
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Welcome to Crackerjack Finance

Crackerjack Finance holds the view that superior investment results come from three areas: knowledge, perspective, and disciplined research. After growing weary of financial websites and blogs that either a) regurgitate headlines or b) scratch the surface with quick-and-easy investment recommendations, Crackerjack was conceptualized in order to provide deeper investment analysis with regard to the broad economy, overall markets, sector themes, geopolitical implications, and company/stock research. Crackerjack believes in an open forum where analysis can be exchanged and stand on its own merit. The idea is to create a forum for passionate investors. Crackerjack believes in anonymity so ideas can be evaluated, shared, and debated freely. All investment ideas will either be from Crackerjack’s founders or from outside submissions that are vetted by Crackerjack. Investors are encouraged to take ownership...

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